What this is
Monolith Research is an institution of few — a systematic-research practice founded
and led by Bilal Malik and built by a small team, held to a bar hard enough that most ideas
do not clear it. Its output is
method, evidence, and a small number of records I can stand behind. This page is the honest
short version, and then it points you at the proof.
The short version
Four things worth knowing before you read further.
- A live, independently-scored model. A model running on Numerai since
June 2026, scored by a third party I do not control — an out-of-sample record
being written in public, not a backtest I can flatter.
- A validation framework built to an institutional standard. Probabilistic
and Deflated Sharpe ratios, probability of backtest overfitting, deflation across the whole
search, stressed costs, and blind holdouts — open-sourced, and applied to my own work
before anyone else’s.
- A funding-grade research book. Five low-correlation sleeves that combine,
out-of-sample and after costs, to a Sharpe near 1.64 — research results, not a
live trading record, and labelled as such.
- Competition pedigree. 15th of roughly 2,200 teams in IMC Prosperity,
and a high distinction in the International Business Tournament.
The gate I judge myself by
Most track records show you the survivors and ask you to trust the selection. I built the
instrument that decides whether a survivor is real, and I open-sourced it. It scores a
strategy the way a sceptical desk would: a Probabilistic Sharpe ratio that asks whether the
record is long enough to trust, a Deflated Sharpe ratio that subtracts the edge you get
simply from trying many ideas, an estimate of the probability the backtest is overfit, costs
stressed well beyond the live figure, and holdouts the search never sees.
You can run it yourself — the interactive version lives on the
gate page, and the
code is public.
A number that survives this is worth more than a higher one that did not.
What clears the bar
What survives is deliberately small, and I would rather show you a few results that held up
than a wall of curves that did not. The research book is built from five low-correlation
sleeves — distinct sources of return that do not rise and fall together — combined
by equal risk contribution so no single sleeve runs the book. Out-of-sample and after costs,
they combine to a Sharpe near 1.64.
These are research results, not a live trading record, and I keep that line bright. The value
here is a defensible book and a
process that documents what it tests
and retires what does not earn its place.
What’s live, and what’s built
Two things are genuinely live. A model scored independently on Numerai, writing an
out-of-sample record I cannot retouch. And the infrastructure itself: a research operating
system of thousands of files — data pipelines, a validation layer, execution and
monitoring tooling — designed, built, and run in-house.
The engineering is not a sideline to the research; it is the reason the research can be
trusted, because every figure on this site is reconstructible from a versioned notebook and
a dated data snapshot.
Who’s behind it
Monolith Research was founded by Bilal Malik, who leads the research, and is built by a
small and growing team. He read Finance at Lancaster and took a high distinction in the
International Business Tournament; together, the team placed 15th of roughly 2,200 in IMC
Prosperity. We work across statistics, machine learning, and the systems engineering that
holds a research operation together. The fuller picture of the team is on the
founder page.
Monolith Research is a research practice. It is not asset management, does not manage client
capital, and nothing here is investment advice or a performance promise.